Events
Name | organizer | Where |
---|---|---|
MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS

China slowdown is global economy's biggest threat, Rogoff says www.bbc.com
The former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund has told the BBC a slowdown in China is the greatest threat to the global economy.
Ken Rogoff said a calamitous "hard landing" for one of the main engines of global growth could not be ruled out.
"China is going through a big political revolution," he said.
"And I think the economy is slowing down much more than the official figures show,"
Mr Rogoff added: "If you want to look at a part of the world that has a debt problem look at China. They've seen credit fuelled growth and these things don't go on forever."
British exposure
Last week, the Bank of International Settlements, the global think tank for central banks, said that China's debt to GDP ratio stood at 30.1%, increasing fears that China's economic boom was based on an unstable credit bubble.
The figure was described as "very high by international standards" by the Financial Policy Committee of the Bank of England, which will now test British banks' exposure to a Chinese slowdown.
British banks have $530bn worth of lending and business in China, including Hong Kong. That is about 16% of all foreign assets held by UK banks.
'A worry'
"Everyone says China's different, the state owns everything they can control it," Mr Rogoff, now Professor of Economics at Harvard, said.
"We're having a pretty sharp landing already and I worry about China becoming more of a problem.
"We've taken it for granted that whatever Europe's doing, Japan's doing - at least China's moving along and there isn't really a substitute for China.
"I think India may come along some day but it's fallen so far behind in size it's not going to compensate."
'Nervous'
Mr Rogoff said that European economies and the US had to ensure they were "on their feet" before any slowdown started to bite.
"The IMF has marked down its forecasts of global growth nine years in a row and certainly the rumour is they're about to do it again," he said.
Beyond China, Mr Rogoff said there was a good deal of uncertainty in the world over issues such as whether Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton will win the US presidential election.
He argued it was difficult to judge what Mr Trump would do if he won, and that a victorious Mrs Clinton might have her plans for infrastructure spending, for example, blocked by the Republican House of Representatives.
"I am certainly nervous, probably much more about a Trump victory, just because of not knowing what's next," Mr Rogoff said.
"I don't like the [protectionist] trade policies of either candidate. I think free trade has benefitted the States immensely in its leadership position. So watching as an economist, this has been a painful election."
Brexit impact
Mr Rogoff said it was unclear what the impact of Brexit would be on the UK economy as it was not yet possible to define the trade model that would be agreed or judge how well the European economy would be performing at the time Britain leaves the European Union.
Despite praising the Bank of England's pro-active response to the referendum result, Mr Rogoff said that central banks were in an increasingly invidious position.
"Monetary policy has its limits - it is not a panacea," he said.
"It is a little bit the fault of central bankers for allowing themselves to take too much credit when things are good, and [then] getting blamed too much when things are bad.
"But monetary policy doesn't make an ageing economy young, it doesn't make an economy which is having little innovation suddenly innovate, it doesn't make an economy with a Zombie banking sector somehow miraculously healthy.
"I have a concern about monetary policy at the moment - that it is being asked to take on roles that it's not built for. It is being asked to do helicopter money where you just print money and hand it out to people.
"In Europe, central banks are buying up a significant proportion of the corporate debt market - that's what you do in China, in India, they're doing that in Japan also.
"There are all sorts of other pressures and I worry in the long run that central banks are losing their independence."

Samsung delays restarting sales of its Galaxy Note 7 in S Korea www.bbc.com

7th MBD Business Networking: "Mongolian Foreign Direct Investment: Challenges" www.mongolianbusinesdatabase.com
We are pleased to invite you to the 7th MBD Business Networking which will be target in "Mongolian Foreign Direct Investment: Challenges" subject on Tuesday Oct 04, 2016 between 16.00-18.30 at Executive Excellence Center www.eeibcmongolia.com .
Agenda:
16.00 - "Mongolian Foreign Investment: Challenges and opportunities" - Dr. Nigel Finch, Founder & Managing Director of Saki Partners and Honorary Consul-General of Mongolia in Sydney.
(Dr.Nigel is a Founder & Managing Director of Saki Partners where he provides advice on complex financial transactions, he was an Associate Professor in Accounting at the University of Sydney (Australia).
He has authored more than 100 publications on accounting and finance including numerous articles focused on emerging markets and extractive industries. Some of his books include Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk (2014), Fundamentals of Corporate Finance (2010), Contemporary Issues in Mining (2012) and Best Practices in Management Accounting (2012).
Dr. Finch is Chartered Accountant, a Chartered Tax Adviser and a Fellow of CPA. He is a member of the Representative Council of CPA Australia, a director of the Australia Mongolia Business Council and a director of several companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange.)
16.20 - "Foreign investment into to the mining sector: Present situation, trend and comments" – L. NARANBAATAR, Founder and Director General of Glogex Co.,LTD
(Naranbaatar is a mining engineer-economist and holds financial management masters degree. He is initiated and leads to organize an annual Goal Mongolia and Metals Mongolia International forum. He is a board member of "Mongolian Geology and Mining professional institution and Mongolian minerals resource reporting committee)
16.40 - "The new circle begins: How we should benefit from it" - A.BILGUUN, Director of MIBG and capital market analyst
(Mr. Bilguun joined MIBG as Chief Executive in the spring of 2012. Prior to joining MIBG Bilguun held several senior executive positions involved in corporate advisory, financing, and logistics within the mining and resources sector in Mongolia. These included Chief Executive and President of Monrud Mining Services LLC and Chief Executive of Discover Mongolia International Mining Investors Forum. In addition to Bilguun’s experience in Mongolia he has previously worked in investment banking at Toll Cross Securities, a Toronto based boutique specializing in mining and resources. He holds Bachelor of Commerce in Finance, Saint Mary’s University CFA Level-3 Candidate)
17.00 - "Foreign Investment into Capital markets: Present situation, trend and comments" -D.ANGAR Founder of Novel Investment and President of Mongolian Capital Markets Association
(Angar was CEO of Mongolian Stock Exchange in 2014-2015. He is now the 100% shareholder of “Novel Investment”, a member of the Mongolian Stock Exchange. The brokerage firm is the Mongolian market leader in the secondary market trading of Government Bonds and Treasury Bills, which accounts for 50% of all trades at the domestic bourse.
He has a bachelor’s degree in Finance from the University of Central Arkansas, USA, and a Master’s degree in International accounting and Finance from the University of Liverpool, UK.)
17.20 - "The recent foreign investment related policy changes: Lessons and comments - Ichinkhorloo SER-OD Founder and CEO of Mongolian Business Database MBD (NGO) and "Bridge of your Business (B2B Mongolia) Co.,LTD
(Ser Od graduated Mongolian National University's Law Institute and the Academy of American and International Law in Dallas Texas. He has been working in a leading business representative organizations, FDI, B2B communication sector for 15 years including Staff-Director of Foreign Relations Department of MNCCI and Vice Director of BCM. )
17. 40 -18.30 Networking served with light food and drinks.
For guests interested in attending this event and registration process please contact:tsendsuren.b@eeibcmongolia.comand tel:77106611, 77109911.
Please register by 5.00pm 03 Oct, 2016 via email providing your full name, company position, tel number and e mail address.
EEIBC's meeting room capacity is limited, so it will be “first come and first serve” basis. (The fee is 30.000 tugrug per person. Please confirm your registration by your payment to "Монголын Бизнес Мэдээллийн Бааз" TBD Bank's 427001964 account before your arrival)

ASEAN GDP to exceed Japan's by 2030: IHS Markit economist www.asia.nikkei.com

Hyundai to debut Genesis premium brand in China in 2-3 years -exec www.chinadaily.com.cn

China lifts ban on US beef products www.chinadaily.com.cn

Corporation tax is on a downward trend, says OECD report www.theguardian.com

Delegation addresses China's steel overproduction www.nhk.or.jp
A major Japanese business delegation is in China for talks with senior government officials. The delegates are calling on China to tackle the issue of overcapacity in its steel industry.
About 200 members of the Japan-China Economic Association are sitting down in Beijing with Vice Premier Zhang Gaoli and other officials.
The visitors include Sadayuki Sakakibara, the chairman of Keidanren, the Japan Business Federation.
They said overproduced steel products in China are exported at low prices, hurting steelmakers around the globe.
Zhang said he intends to promote reforms to resolve the issue of factories with excess capacity.
He said China wants to learn from Japan's experience in tacking such problems through industrial realignment.
The delegates also met with senior officials of China's Commerce Ministry.
The Japanese side said China needs to step up efforts to protect intellectual property rights in order to attract more private investment.
They called for a crackdown on the sale of counterfeit Japanese products.
The Chinese officials promised to do more to deal with the problem.

France remains Russia’s top foreign investor www.rt.com
For the third consecutive year France is the leading foreign investor in the Russian economy, according to the Director General of the Franco-Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCIFR) Pavel Shinsky.
The chamber says in the first three months of this year France invested twice as much as Germany, and even the economic sanctions haven’t scared off French companies.
“In the first quarter of this year France invested $797 million in the Russian economy while Germany $350 million, and the US $130 million,” Shinsky said at the International Business Summit in Russia’s Nizhny Novgorod.
France has long been a major foreign employer in Russia, primarily due to such companies as Auchan, and French banks. It provides more than 130,000 jobs from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok, said Shinsky.
“No single French company, and there are about 6,000 of them operating in Russia at the moment, has left the country since the beginning of the sanctions,” he said, adding it is “necessary to improve the business climate and make it easier for businesses to operate."
CCIFR data showed that last year French companies invested more than $1 billion in Russia.
French officials and businesses have repeatedly called for the lifting of anti-Russia sanctions imposed by the EU in 2014 because of the dispute over Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
Western sanctions against Russia are causing problems for French companies which are losing market share, said Michelle Assouline from the Movement of the Enterprises of France (MEDEF).
France’s Foreign Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault said sanctions against Russia should be lifted as soon as possible.
The EU sanctions include restrictions on lending to major Russian state-owned banks, as well as defense and oil companies. Brussels also imposed restrictions on the supply of weapons and military equipment to Russia, as well as military technology, dual-use technology, hi-tech equipment and technology for oil production.
In response, Moscow imposed an embargo on agricultural produce, food and raw materials from countries that joined the anti-Russian move. Since then French farmers have repeatedly taken to the streets to protest low prices on agricultural produce ruining their businesses. Prices were driven down by the loss of the Russian market as a result of the sanctions.

Coal export projected to increase www.vom.mn
Coal export is projected to increase. The coal export of Mongolia is estimated to increase to 19.5 million tons in 2016, according to the Mineral Resources Authority. The coal export is forecast to increase by 4.5 million tons as compared to the previous year. Most or 12 million tons of coal for export this year is expected to be contributed by the West and East Tsankhi mines of ErdenesTavanTolgoi JSC.
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