The war in Ukraine will deliver a shock to the global supply and cost of food, the boss of one of the world's biggest fertiliser companies has said.

Yara International, which operates in more than 60 countries, buys considerable amounts of essential raw materials from Russia.

Fertiliser prices were already high due to soaring wholesale gas prices.

Yara's boss, Svein Tore Holsether, has warned the situation could get even tougher.

"Things are changing by the hour," he told the BBC.

"We were already in a difficult situation before the war... and now it's additional disruption to the supply chains and we're getting close to the most important part of this season for the Northern hemisphere, where a lot of fertiliser needs to move on and that will quite likely be impacted."

Russia and Ukraine are some of the biggest producers in agriculture and food globally.

Russia also produces enormous amounts of nutrients, like potash and phosphate - key ingredients in fertilisers, which enable plants and crops to grow.

"Half the world's population gets food as a result of fertilisers... and if that's removed from the field for some crops, [the yield] will drop by 50%," Mr Holsether said.

"For me, it's not whether we are moving into a global food crisis - it's how large the crisis will be."

His company has already been affected by the conflict after a missile hit Yara's office in Kyiv. The 11 staff were unharmed.

The Norwegian-based company isn't directly affected by sanctions against Russia, but is having to deal with the fall-out. Trying to secure deliveries has become more difficult due to disruption in the shipping industry.

Just hours after Mr Holsether spoke to the BBC, the Russian government urged its producers to halt fertiliser exports.

He pointed out that about a quarter of the key nutrients used in European food production come from Russia.

"At the same time we're doing whatever we can do at the moment to also find additional sources. But with such short timelines it's limited," he said before the news emerged.

Analysts have also warned that the move would mean higher costs for farmers and lower crop yields. That could feed through into even higher costs for food.

Huge amounts of natural gas are needed to produce ammonia, the key ingredient in nitrogen fertiliser. Yara International relies on vast quantities of Russian gas for its European plants.

Last year, it was forced to temporarily suspend production of about 40% of its capacity in Europe because of the spike in the price of wholesale gas. Other producers also cut supplies.

Combined with higher shipping rates, sanctions on Belarus (another major potash supplier) and extreme weather - this prompted a big jump in fertiliser prices last year, adding to a surge in food prices.

The company says it's making day-to-day evaluations on how to maintain supply and that it is too early to say if more shutdowns may be on the cards.

It acknowledges it has a "very strong obligation" to keep production running at what it describes as a critical point.

But Yara's boss says the world must, in the long-term, reduce its dependency on Russia for global food production.

"On the one hand, we're trying to keep fertiliser flowing to the farmers to keep up the agricultural yields.

"At the same time... there has to be a strong reaction. We condemn the Russian military invasion of Ukraine so this is a dilemma and one that frankly is very difficult."

Climate change and growing populations had already been adding to the challenges the global food production system faces - all before the pandemic started.

The Yara International chief executive describes the war as "a catastrophe on top of a catastrophe", highlighting just how vulnerable to shocks the global food supply chain now is.

It will increase food insecurity in poorer countries, he adds.

"We have to keep in mind that in the last two years, there's been an increase of 100 million more people that go to bed hungry... so for this to come on top of it is really worrying."

The Government of Mongolia recently made a decision to establish the Foreign Investment Agency. By establishing the agency, policy and planning as well as investors will be connected with large-scale construction projects and other sectors. Furthermore, the rights and legal interests of investors will be more protected. The agency will be in charge of stabilizing the investment environment and provide investors with support and services, highlighted Deputy Minister of Justice and Internal Affairs B.Solongoo during a discussion that took place at the Mongolian National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MNCCI).

Co-organized by the Ministry of Justice and Internal Affairs and the MNCCI under the topic, ‘Pressing issues in the legal environment for investment, and necessity for reform’, the discussion was attended by officials of the newly established Ministry of Economy and Development, the General Authority for State Registration, and the Immigration Agency of Mongolia, and representatives of organizations such as the World Bank and the Business Council of Mongolia.

Informing that a working group has been established at the ministry to amend the Law on Investment, Deputy Minister B.Solongoo stressed the importance of clearly defining the legal environment for foreign investors to run businesses in Mongolia and have fair, mutually beneficial partnerships with domestic entities. She then highlighted the necessity to appropriately define the country’s foreign investment policy and ensure its stable implementation.

As for representatives of entities and businesses, they informed the Deputy Minister about how certain regulations of laws have yet to be implemented due to the lack of correlation with other laws, and noted the necessity of ensuring their implementation.

The business owners agreed with the government officials about how it has become necessary to resolve the pressing issues of the country’s legal environment on investment.

During the discussion, the participants also discussed looking at the issue on a wider scale by taking other corresponding laws into account, and increasing investment in sectors other than mining. In particular, investment in sectors such as IT, transport and logistics, and energy should be promoted alongside creating correlation between policy and legislation through the approval of the unified policy on foreign investment, they noted.

Suggestions were also put forth concerning issues such as foreign workers quota, issuance of visas and residence permits, active promotional works aimed at foreign investors, and facilitation of the process to register an entity with foreign investment.

Mongolian cardiac surgeons operated two kids from Kyrgyzstan in Ulaanbaatar on February 21-22.

Children returned home yesterday. They were met upon arrival in airport by Health Minister Alymkadyr Beishenaliev. All expenses were covered by Mongolian side.

"We arrived in Mongolia on February 20. Bilal was operated on February 21. My son Dastan was operated on February 22. They were discharged from hospital in a week, but children remain under medical observation. They feel well. Airfare, meals, accommodation, surgeries were covered by the Mongolian side. All that was free for us. I am grateful to Mongolian doctors," Gulzat Toktomusheva, mother of one of the operated boys, said.

The kids were selected by the National Cardiac Surgery and Organ Transplantation Research Institute. Both of them had one of the most common congenital heart defects - atrial septal defect.

"The surgeries were successful. Children with such heart defect do not need a long rehabilitation. They will be absolutely healthy in 2-3 months. Mongolian surgeons plan to make several more similar operations. The National Cardiac Surgery and Organ Transplantation Research Institute works on other cooperation projects," Health Minister Beishenaliev said.

The Mongolian surgeons from the National Organ Transplantation and Cardiovascular Surgery Center visited Kyrgyzstan from February 2-7. They examined children from poor families. Two children were operated by them in Bishkek together with surgeons of the Kyrgyz Cardiac Surgery and Organ Transplantation Research Institute.

Last year, Mongolia’s officials confidently promised a “COVID-free summer”; however, the plan has failed.

On 14 February, 2022, Mongolian Government scrapped almost all remaining Covid-19 restrictions, but keeping face mask, hand sanitizing and the one-metre rules. Majority of measures that have been in place for almost three years are now lifted.

And as we begin to finally inch past the Omicron winter surge that infected hundreds in the past few months, many Mongolians are looking forward to the promise of a post-pandemic summer, free from mask mandates and social distancing.

COVID-19 infections are decreasing in Mongolia, with 200-400 new infections reported on average each day. There is 9% of the peak at the highest daily average reported on September 7, 2021.

There have been 465,326 infections and 2,173 coronavirus-related deaths reported in the country since the pandemic began.

The Law on Virtual Asset Service Provider and accompanying laws (adopted on December 17, 2021) were published in №6 of the Government Information bulletin on February 14, 2022. The above-mentioned laws entered into force from March 1, 2022 according to Paragraph 26.3 of the Constitution of Mongolia.

Accordingly, legal entities shall not provide virtual asset services without registering with the Financial Regulatory Commission of Mongolia. Please note that legal entities that are not registered as virtual asset service providers by the FRC, shall be subject to liabilities specified in related laws, if they offer virtual assets to the public, organize trading activities, participate in financial activities, and/or provide services.

Please click the links below to see the details.

The Law on Virtual Asset Provider

Amendments to the accompanying laws

Source: Financial Regulatory Commission

Recently, a heated discussion took place at the Tuushin Hotel with members of parliament, some ministers, the public, and almost all media outlets under the slogan "They should pay the debt themselves - let's unite and demand payments" in connection with the Development Bank's (DB) non-performing loans. The discussion, which was broadcast live on many TV channels and social networks across the country, has exacerbated public frustration and caused a wave of protests within the Mongolian society.

The issue of non-performing loans given by the DB has had a considerable amount of media coverage before. A year and a half ago, I also wrote on the issue that this bank technically went "bankrupt." The public now needs to be informed well on why this problem is finally in the spotlight now and what the solutions are.

The reason is the escalation of the DB loan problem to a level where the ruling MPP leaders cannot solve it alone, requiring some public support.

The fact that more than half of the loans issued by the DB fall under the category of non-performing loans is a clear sign of how entangled the Government of Mongolia has become with decades-long corruption and that the legislative system benefits corrupt officials and oligarchs.

To demand payment of the loans, by all means, is crucial to fight against organized political-economic gangs, which are backed by power, money, and judiciary protection.

If the DB fails to pay its bond payments of almost 1 billion dollars next year, the government will not be able to pay it even in the case of a bailout. There is not much money because the government has exhausted all its resources when spending the equivalent of its full-year budget to fight the pandemic and revive the economy.

Fortunately, the authorities seem to have understood that Mongolia is on the brink of bankruptcy if it does not eliminate corruption, regardless of the DB issue. With rampant corruption, the risk of losing the 2024 election is high for the MPP.

The DB drama goes as follows:

The beginning

The Development Bank of Mongolia was established in 2011 to finance development projects with long-term financing, particularly infrastructure and export promotion programs, as seen in many other countries. A highly experienced Korean DB management team was invited to work in its initial phase. Issuing bonds abroad has raised 600 million dollars. Then on August 10, 2012, N. Altankhuyag's government was formed, and the Ministry of Economy was established with B. Batbayar as its Minister. The government soon issued its first foreign bond (Chinggis), raising 1.5 billion dollars. Suddenly, the government, which had its hands on a lot of money, rescinded their agreement with the Koreans, who were making rules and regulations a subject of discussion, which prevented them from using the funds as they pleased.

That is how the foreign debt history of democratic Mongolia began. Mongolia has not paid any of the debt during the last decade. Instead, it only resorted to new loans to pay its previous debts. Even the then Prime Minister openly said that the next generation would pay the debt. Since then, the successive governments have put their people in leadership positions of the DB and have issued billions of tugriks in loans for their benefit. Mongolian authorities demonstrated that nobody bears responsibility for state funds.

The plot

Half of the loans provided by the DB, which saw six governments and six directors, are now non-performing loans. The failure to receive loan repayments and the absence of a contingency fund is no surprise when the underlying situation of unstable governance and loans linked to politicians are taken into account.

Currently, out of the loans provided to 66 legal entities, 14 are normal, 10 are likely to deteriorate, and 42 are non-performing. Out of 2.6 trillion tugriks in loans, 1.8 trillion was classified as non-performing. Of the 42 borrowers with non-performing loans, 30 were taken to the courts, 22 are at first instance court, two were on appeal, and six were acquitted. The back and forth process takes almost five years.

The amendment to the law on the DB in February of 2017 allowed the DB to make decisions on its own, whereas the loans had to be approved by the parliament previously. Moreover, the board received the power to dictate the procedure to issue loans. Illegal activities to conspire and embezzle public funds were thus legalized.

There is no system in place to investigate, correct, or hold accountable politically motivated criminal activities, such as misappropriation of loans, money laundering through banks and NBFCs, and release of collateral.

It has become the norm to take a low-interest loan and then take it to court for various reasons to halt the interest rate and keep the money at a high-interest rate in commercial banks for several years during the court proceedings. Recently, it was uncovered that even the four largest commercial banks in Mongolia borrowed from the DB and used the money to further lend at high-interest rates. The DB management bought two floors of the new TDB building for 27 billion tugriks, which is many times the market price. It is said that the entire building was built at the cost of 25 billion tugriks.

It is not that the government was unaware of all this, but the leaders and officials of the two ruling parties have been keeping each other's secrets and working hand in hand with each other. Various members of the Parliament and the Government have been the main actors in this DB drama.

Recently, however, MPP leaders announced that they would hold their party members accountable for their ethical misconduct in connection with the DB, suspend their membership, and bar them if found guilty by the court. A mere announcement is different from actual implementation. It is doubtful that the oligarchs of the two parties, possessing wealth and power over the media, will be defeated.

After the Lunar New Year, the Mongolian government unveiled that the Development Bank has become a significant obstacle to our development.

The ending

Banks in a similar situation as the DB end up liquidated or restructured. The Prime Minister has said that the DB will not be liquidated or bankrupt. Instead, he stated, it would be turned into the Exim Bank to promote increased exports and substituted imports. Therefore, it means that there will be restructuring and restarting. There are three ways to do so:

1). Sorting the non-performing loans and establishing an asset management corporation,

2). Selling the collateral properties of non-performing loans and ensuring repayment,

3). Exponentially increasing the bank's assets and paying bad loans. In the case of the first and third methods, the owner of the DBM - the Mongolian government does not have the budget capacity to allocate such funds. As for Mongolian commercial banks, they lack capital. The Bank of Mongolia is restricted from conducting fiscal activities. The only way left is to sell the collateral as soon as possible.

However, the judiciary system is weak in Mongolia. Moreover, there are almost no experts available for disputes over the release and sale of real estate. Even if there are, they are linked too closely with politicians. Income and assets declarations show that members of parliament, government officials, the judiciary, and law enforcement servants earn much higher than the average population.

Regardless of the recovery or renaming of the DB, this drama will repeat itself if the leading cause of the bankruptcy is not cleared. The root cause is corruption, and the DB is only an example.

The primary reason for Mongolia being in this situation is the so-called state properties that nobody owns. It is impossible to change the system of corruption without turning all state-owned enterprises into joint-stock companies with specific owners. The right to manage state property is handed over to a political party through democratic elections. Since the political parties are not institutionalized, no one bears the responsibility for state properties in Mongolia.

What's more, public funds have been embezzled through unfeasible projects such as the Price Stabilization Program. Immunity and legal protection are granted once elected as parliament members. There is also a common practice of dismissing a case due to the expiry of the statute of limitations. After severe money laundering cases, they are usually forgiven in the name of tax forgiveness.

Only by changing and fixing all this can we get rid of corruption. Strong public participation and demands are essential. It has been forgotten at all levels of society that democracy is at the intersection between freedom and responsibility. Only a country where citizens are aware of their duty to actively fight to keep the government free of corruption will prosper.

Are we Mongolians going to keep allowing a few thieves to steal the money from the DB and SME Fund?

The war in Ukraine has had big consequences for Poland as a country. 100,000 war refugees are crossing the Polish border every day, while Ukrainian male employees in Poland are making their way back to their home country to defend it. Naturally, the situation has brought difficulties for the export of apples as well.

Jakub Krawczyk, export manager for Polish apple exporter Appolonia, states Poland is doing what it can to help the Ukrainian people in this time of war: “As a community, we’re all involved in helping Ukrainian people with transportation, food, medical healthcare and organization of basic needs here in Poland. All Polish people are involved; private companies, governmental officials or just regular people, they are trying to do everything to help our neighbors in these hard wartimes.”

“The situation has a tremendous impact on apples sector as well. We have a few big problems; sales of apples are low, as there is a decrease in consumption of fruits and of course the increasing cost of energy, petrol and gas. There is a lack of qualified employees like truck, forklift and tractor drivers,” Krawczyk explains. “Eastern markets are closed for us right now. It’s been more than two months since the Belarus embargo started and it had a huge negative effect on apple sales in Poland. The Russian embargo is really bad for us, but the Belarus embargo is even worse, as Belarus was one of the biggest importers of our apples. This means that we all have less orders at the moment, and lot of companies are not working at full capacity, unlike how it was before the embargo.”

Overall, apple consumption seems to be down compared to the usual level, Krawczyk says: “We feel the decrease in consumption of apples on both the Polish domestic market as well as in the rest of Europe. Right now, stocks of apples in Western Europe are quite large and orders for Polish apples from this region are much lower than usual. To have a war just behind the European Union border has caused a significant increase in costs of petrol, and it’s obvious that those costs will have an effect on everything else.”

Because of the conflict in Ukraine, road transport to Kazakhstan or Mongolia is a hard thing to organize according to Krawczyk: “I would say it is almost impossible at this time. There are also fewer sales to Serbia. But the conflict has also caused a shift in the container sector, as availability for containers has dropped dramatically. Sales to Egypt has been much more difficult as a result and Egypt is a very big importer of Polish apples. There’s also been a new law in Egypt that is only allowing a Letter of Credit as a payment term, which has really slowed down orders to that region. A lack of containers also means less opportunities for sales to Asia and the Middle East.”

Normally the price of apples would increase this time of the year, as storing the apples increases the costs that exporters have. However, currently the price of apples has been decreasing, says Krawczyk. “Over the last few weeks, the price of apples in Poland have dropped down just a little bit, but normally in this stage of the season the prices should rise, because of the increasing costs of storage. In the last week, there hasn’t been any change in the price at all that we noticed. The cost of food is increasing due to the war, but the price of apples is not going up at the same level. We think the season will be hard, conflicts have blocked our sales, we face some difficulties with logistics and sometimes with payment conditions. Issues that are usually just a few bumps in the road, have now combined together with the war to create this negative situation. It’s not a guarantee the situation will remain this bad, but we need to monitor situation on every market to see how we can react.”

“I think Polish apples are a good option for importers, because there are lot of varieties they can choose, quality is still very good and we can provide very large quantities. Producers like us will be happy to start cooperation with new partners, and even though there are many problems that are accumulating we still want to move ahead to deliver healthy food on every table.” Krawczyk concludes.

For more information:

Jakub Krawczyk

Appolonia

Tel: +48 785 342 930

Email: jakub.krawczyk@appolonia.pl

The Ministry of Health reported today that 190 СOVID-19 cases were recorded in the last 24 hours nationwide. In detail, 136 cases were reported in Ulaanbaatar city, with 54 cases in 21 provinces.

It was also reported that two COVID-19 related deaths have been reported in the past 24 hours. Currently, there are 1.535 people are receiving hospital treatment for COVID-19 whilst 5,312 people with mild symptoms are being treated at home. Of the total patients currently undergoing treatment at hospitals, there are 380 patients in mild, 988 in serious, 148 in critical, and 19 in very critical conditions.

As of today, the coverage of 1st dose has reached 69.8 percent (2,271,836), 2nd dose – 66.8 percent (2,173,300), and 3rd dose or a booster shot of COVID-19 vaccines – 31.5 percent (1,026,267) of the total population. In addition, 106,880 people (3.3 percent) have received the 4th vaccine dose.

At the regular meeting of the Cabinet dated March 2, Minister of Energy N.Tavinbekh presented the progress of the Erdeneburen hydropower plant project, which is being implemented as part of the ‘New Revival Policy’.

The Ministry of Energy signed a turnkey contract with the project’s contractor last September to ensure the timely construction of the Erdeneburen 90 MW hydropower plant. Construction of the plant will begin on April 1 and be completed within 61 months.

The western region where more than 390 thousand people reside imports 75 percent of its energy needs from Russia and China, which means it uses five or six times expensive energy than that being produced at Durgun HPP. The establishment of the hydropower plant will create the possibility to provide the country’s western region with domestically produced energy.

At the Cabinet’s regular meeting, Minister of Finance gave updates on budget funding earmarked in the law on 2022 Budget and procurement for the projects and actions.

Bids have been announced for 575 or 80.3 percent of the 716 projects and actions to be implemented with funding from the budget, but not for 141 projects and actions.

Budget governors were ordered to make the procurements arrangements for the 575 projects and actions with promptitude and establish contracts by April 1, 2022.