Events
Name | organizer | Where |
---|---|---|
MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS

Glencore sees zinc, nickel, copper price rally continuing www.mining.com
Miner and commodities trader Glencore (LON:GLEN) produced some stellar results on Thursday and the Switzerland-based company also provided a positive outlook for 2017, particularly for its base metals business.
Glencore is the world's number four copper producer and top 3 zinc supplier and its clout on base metals markets is only amplified by its trading arm.
Last year Glencore's metals and minerals division recorded revenues of $66.3 billion with 'marketing activities' contributing $42.1 billion of the total.
The Baar-HQed company's 'industrial activities' revenue jumped 25% last year thanks to better fundamentals and rising metal prices which it expects to continue in 2017.
Here are some highlights from Glencore's outlook:
Copper
Near-term demand prospects appear positive. A political transition year in China should ensure continued positive fundamentals while the actual and looming infrastructure programs in Japan and North America should start to lend support to non-Chinese consuming regions.
Supply-side fundamentals also improved markedly during the year. Despite some scaremongering, the “wall of supply” failed to emerge.
The stresses induced by 18 months of low pricing and related actions to enhance cash flows are only just starting to manifest themselves
New supply growth from Peru was almost fully offset by production decreases in Chile and elsewhere, and continued shutdowns in the African copper belt. Indeed, the copper market appears to be reverting to form, with an unusually low volume of mine disruptions seen in H1 2016, but increasing in the second half of the year.
The stresses induced by 18 months of low pricing and related actions to enhance cash flows are only just starting to manifest themselves.
The prospect of demand growth across Asia, Europe and the US, as well as the likelihood of difficult labour contract negotiations at some of the industry’s major mines over the coming year, suggest that pricing risks lie to the upside in 2017.
Nickel
We estimate global stainless production in 2016 at over 45 million tonnes, up over 7% on the prior year, including over 24 million tonnes from China. Globally 300S austenitic production totalled over 25 million tonnes which is a 10% increase versus 2015.
Developments in non-stainless remain mixed, with special steel producers reporting challenging conditions primarily due to continued oil and gas weakness, whilst demand from the critical alloys industry and battery sector remains robust.
Overall we estimate primary nickel demand in 2016 of 2.05 million tonnes, representing an ~8% increase versus 2015.
Whilst inventories remain elevated, the outlook is for continued deficits and further draws in primary nickel inventories as demand remains strong
Nickel supply continued to fall in 2016 with further shutdowns (BCL, Tati, Votorantim, Mirabella), and lower nickel unit exports (in ore) from the Philippines all driving a fall in projected nickel output to approximately 1.95 million tonnes of nickel, down 2% versus 2015.
Consequently the market entered its first material deficit since 2010 enabling global inventories to fall by around 100,000 tonnes. Whilst inventories remain elevated, the outlook is for continued deficits and further draws in primary nickel inventories as demand remains strong. Supply increases relate to Indonesia exporting more nickel units in nickel pig iron, with production elsewhere continuing to flat-line or even fall.
Zinc and Lead
The widely anticipated zinc mining output reduction materialised and resulted in significantly tighter physical market conditions, particularly for zinc concentrate. Confirmation of decreasing supply, in combination with better than anticipated demand conditions driven by the recovery of the Chinese real estate and global automotive market, has resulted in destocking of both zinc concentrates and metal during the year and a higher corresponding LME price.
The widely anticipated zinc mining output reduction materialised and resulted in significantly tighter physical market conditions, particularly for zinc concentrate
2016 Chinese zinc mine production was similar to 2015, despite the incentive of a higher SHFE zinc metal price, and a reduction in zinc mine production from the rest of the world (“ROW”) of around 900kmtu (10.8%). Consequently, realised Benchmark TCs reduced by $32/dmt ($243 to $211) while average spot TCs were down by $99/dmt ($201 to $102).
The tightness in zinc concentrates is yet to impact Chinese zinc metal production, even though Chinese concentrate imports were down by 640kmtu and domestic mine production was flat year-over-year. Chinese smelters reported similar production as in 2015, which is attributed to destocking of concentrates stock built up in prior years. ROW zinc metal production was down by 244kmtu compared to prior year.
ROW zinc metal continues to be shipped to China, following the trend of the last few years. Metal imports into China were stable year on year, causing further inventory drawdowns from LME exchanges (stocks down from 463kt to 428kt), while SHFE (199kt to 153kt) and Shanghai Metal Market stocks have also been drawn to cover the needs of the Chinese physical market. Published non-exchange stocks in China have also reduced by a further 50-80kt. Real estate and infrastructure end markets in China are performing better than expected, supported by Chinese government actions in H1 2016, while the automotive market continues to show strong growth both in China and ROW.
The lead supply side trend is similar, given that it is generally a by-product of zinc. Lead benchmark TCs were down by $22.50/dmt ($170 versus $192.50), while spot was down by $60/dmt ($117 versus $177) compared to 2015 averages. Chinese lead concentrates imports were also down by 24% year over year.
Going forward, we expect tight zinc concentrates supply to translate into lower metal production in 2017, which should cause further inventory drawdowns and provide support to the metal price.
...
Traders drain pricey U.S. oil storage as OPEC deal bites www.reuters.com

Erdene Closes Oversubscribed $13.8 Million Bought Deal Financing www.erdene.com
Halifax, Nova Scotia – February 23, 2017 – Erdene Resource Development Corp. (TSX:ERD)
("Erdene" or "Company") is pleased to announce the closing of its previously announced bought deal
financing for gross proceeds to the Company of C$13.8 million (the “Offering”). The Offering was led
by Paradigm Capital Inc., with a syndicate including Canaccord Genuity Corp. (collectively, the
“Underwriters”).
The Company issued an aggregate of 17,922,077 common shares (“Shares”) at a price of C$0.77 per
Share, including the full exercise of the Underwriters’ 15% over-allotment option. The Offering was
oversubscribed with participation from multiple institutional investors from Canada and abroad.
In consideration for their services, the Underwriters received a cash commission of $828,000
representing 6% of the gross proceeds of the Offering and 1,075,324 compensation warrants (the
“Compensation Warrants”) representing 6% of the Shares issued pursuant to the Offering. Each
Compensation Warrant is exercisable for a period of 24 months from closing and entitles the holder to
purchase one Share for $1.20 per share.
All Shares issued in connection with the Offering are subject to a four-month hold period expiring June
24, 2017. The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the Offering to advance its 100%-owned,
high-grade Bayan Khundii and Altan Nar Gold Projects, and to further explore and develop the
Company's other gold properties in southwest Mongolia, as well as for working capital and general
corporate purposes. An approximate 20,000 metre drill program at Bayan Khundii is expected to
commence in April 2017.
“We are extremely pleased with the strong interest shown in the financing which was significantly
oversubscribed. It is our pleasure to welcome these high caliber shareholders into Erdene”, said Peter
Akerley, Erdene’s President and CEO. “We now have the financial capacity to significantly advance our
promising gold projects in southwest Mongolia.”
The securities described herein have not been, and will not be, registered under the United States
Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “U.S Securities Act”), or any state securities laws, and
accordingly, may not be offered or sold within the United States except in compliance with the
registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act and applicable state securities requirements or
pursuant to exemptions therefrom. This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation
to buy any securities in any jurisdiction.

Game company seeks to block Facebook from using virtual reality code www.reuters.com

10 clinics to be built with Turkish aid www.mongolia.gogo.mn

Leave-work-early campaign kicks off www3.nhk.or.jp

Mongolia and China to extend swap arrangement www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ The Bank of Mongolia and the People’s Bank of China have agreed to extend the local currency swap line during the meeting between Deputy Governor Lkhagvasuren Byadran and Deputy Governor Yi Gang on February 22, 2017 in Beijing, the People’s Republic of China.
Currently, the two central banks have RMB 15 billion swap line, maturing in 2017. It is expected that the maturity will be extended to 2020 by the agreement.
The central banks first entered into the swap arrangement in 2011 with RMB 5 billion. The swap line was expanded two times in 2012 and 2014 to RMB 15 billion.

Mongolian coal miners bet on ’One Belt, One Road’ to feed demand www.news.mn
Coal miners operating in Mongolia are betting on China's massive 'One Belt, One Road' programme to improve access to existing markets in China and Russia and enter new ones as far afield as Eastern Europe.
Although Chinese demand for coking coal, or metallurgical coal – a key steelmaking ingredient – has recovered, infrastructure constraints in Mongolia, particularly a lack of rail capacity continues to cause 'bottlenecks' and delays in getting product to markets, said David Paull, managing director of ASX-listed Aspire Mining Ltd.
In the longer term, China's efforts to re-invent the Silk Road trading route for the modern era, connecting Asia to the Middle East and Europe will shift the balance.
"One Belt, One Road and investment in Mongolian rail will provide capacity, allowing greater penetration of the Chinese and Russian markets 'and eventually Eastern Europe," Paull told CNBC in a telephone interview on Feb. 21st.
Despite the longer-term appeal of new growth markets, Mongolian-focused miners like Aspire remain cautious.
"The coking coal market certainly has stabilized," Paull said. "The capital markets were completely closed to us" during the depths of the commodity price collapse in 2014.
"We reduced ourselves to a skeleton crew to keep ourselves in the game. We're still very much in that mode but more confident in sources of funding if you can point to the fact you can move to the development stage quickly."
In the near term, China's ban on North Korean coal imports is boosting demand for Mongolian coking coal, said Thomas Hugger, founder and CEO of Asia Frontier Capital. "Naturally, Mongolia should be the main beneficiary of this." (CBSN)

Germany overtakes UK as fastest-growing G7 economy www.theguardian.com

Daimler to invest in Mercedes-Benz plant in Russia, creating over 1,000 jobs www.rt.com
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