Events
Name | organizer | Where |
---|---|---|
MBCC “Doing Business with Mongolia seminar and Christmas Receptiom” Dec 10. 2024 London UK | MBCCI | London UK Goodman LLC |
NEWS

IMF says pace of global economic growth is picking up www.bbc.com
The world economy seems to be gaining momentum, according the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
Writing in the IMF's new World Economic Outlook, Maurice Obstfeldt said "we could be at a turning point".
The report forecasts global growth this year of 3.5%, up from 3.1% predicted in 2016.
The UK's economy is forecast to expand by 2% this year, stronger growth than any of the major developed economies apart from the US.
The prediction for Britain this year is now only marginally below what the IMF predicted a year ago, its last full forecast before the Brexit referendum.
The figure then was 2.2%. The revised forecast reinforces the picture of the British economy's performance being little affected by the aftermath of the referendum, contrary to the expectations of the IMF and many independent economists. The IMF does, however, expect the longer term impact on Britain to be adverse.
The IMF also warns of headwinds that could weaken its global projections. The organisation highlights the possibility of protectionism and what the report calls "trade warfare".
However, the dominant tone of the report is rather sunnier than it has been for some time. For much of the period since the financial crisis of 2008 the IMF has worried that the recovery was failing to generate momentum.
Dispelling fears
This time the IMF sees buoyant financial markets and "a long awaited cyclical recovery in manufacturing and trade".
The rebound in the prices of commodities has also helped dispel fears of deflation, or falling prices, which has been seen as a danger, especially in the developed world. Deflation can, in some circumstances, aggravate economic weakness.
The forecast for this year would be a marked improvement on last year's 3.1%.
It's striking that in the forecast for the larger economies, there are none predicted to suffer a decline in economic activity this year or next.
Even Brazil and Russia, two countries that have suffered from the fallout of international and domestic political difficulties, are forecast to see growth this year, although it's not particularly strong.
China first quarter growth hits 6.9%
Eurozone growth 'nears six-year high'
Inevitably, the IMF identifies possible risks that could weaken its main forecasts. In particular, the report refers to increasing "pressures for inward looking policies in the advanced economies".
The report notes the loss of what it calls middle-skilled jobs in advanced economies as a result of technological change since the early 1990s. There is controversy about to what extent increased global trade might have contributed to those losses.
Combined with the slow recovery from recent economic crises, this has affected people on lower incomes and led to growing disillusionment with globalisation the, IMF says.
The report warns that this could trigger more protectionist policy actions on trade and immigration.
UK growth strengthens
Mr Obstfeldt writes: "Capitulating to those pressures would result in a self-inflicted wound, leading to higher prices for consumers and businesses, lower productivity, and therefore, lower overall real income for households."
The report also says that the increased fragmentation of production processes across countries aggravates the potential economic damage.
The forecast for Britain has been revised up markedly for this year - to growth of 2%, from 1.6% predicted in 2016. That is a stronger than any of the leading developed economies apart from the US, whose growth is forecast to be 2.3%.
The revision for the UK reflects what the report calls the "stronger-than-expected performance of the UK economy since the June Brexit vote".
But the IMF still expects negative effects from leaving the EU including "reduced consumer purchasing power following the pound's depreciation and its gradual pass-through to prices and the impact of uncertainty on private investment".
It also says that longer term prospects have been diminished because of the expected increase in barriers to trade and migration and the potential impact on the UK's financial services.
One decidedly weak area is Africa, for which the IMF describes the outlook as subdued. For sub-Saharan Africa, economic growth is likely to only moderately exceed population growth. That means correspondingly only moderate progress in raising average living standards in the region.
Although commodity prices such as oil have rebounded from recent troughs, they are still relatively low. The Fund says that is holding back growth in oil-producing nations in Africa such as Nigeria and Angola.

Australia to introduce stricter rules on working visas www.bbc.com
Australia will introduce stricter visa requirements for skilled workers from overseas, the government said.
PM Malcolm Turnbull said the current 457 visa programme will be abolished to prioritise Australian nationals.
In its place, two new temporary visas will carry additional requirements and draw from a smaller list of eligible professions.
The 457 scheme had attracted criticism that Australian workers were losing out to foreign counterparts.
"The new system will be manifestly, rigorously, resolutely conducted in the national interest," Mr Turnbull said on Tuesday.
According to government statistics, 95,758 people were living in Australia on 457 visas last year, with the highest proportion coming from India (24.6%), the UK (19.5%) and China (5.8%).
What was the 457 visa?
A four-year business visa which allowed people to live in Australia with their immediate family.
It was designed to fill gaps in skilled labour but it had been criticised as being too accessible.
In 2016, the most 457s were granted to cooks, developers, programmers and medical workers
What are the changes?
Mr Turnbull said the current four-year 457 system will be replaced by visas lasting two or four years.
For the shorter visa, more than 200 jobs will be removed from an existing list of about 650 eligible professions.
The list for the longer visa will be even more strict, said Immigration Minister Peter Dutton.
The changes will also require applicants to be more proficient in English, undergo a criminal check, and be subject to labour market testing.
Current 457 visa holders will not be affected by the changes, Mr Turnbull said.
Will it affect migration?
Yes, according to Mr Dutton. He described the possibility of eventual citizenship as a "significant part of the attraction" of the 457 visa.
"The existing 457 visa program is conducted for a period of four years, but essentially it is open-ended, and it results, in many cases, in a migration outcome," he said.
"What we propose is that under the temporary skills shortage visa short-term stream there will be a two-year visa... but there won't be permanent residency outcomes at the end of that."
The new four-year visa will also result in fewer permanent residents because of the eligibility changes, he said.
It comes after Australian said last month that it would largely end granting visas to foreign workers in the fast food industry.

Non-performing loans decrease by 3.2 per cent www.en.montsame.mn

Children on Mongolians living abroad to be registered as Mongolian citizen www.en.montsame.mn

Deputy Prime Minister meets World Bank delegates www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ Deputy Prime Minister U.Khurelsukh received Mona Haddad, Practice Manager for East Asia and the Pacific in the World Bank Group’s Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice on April 17, Monday to discuss the Group's new project in Mongolia.
At the beginning of the meeting, the Deputy Prime Minister expressed his gratitude for the World Bank Group's continued support to Mongolia through numerous projects and programs. 2016 marked the 25th anniversary of Mongolia’s membership in the World Bank Group.
In addition to Livestock and Agricultural Marketing project and Third Sustainable Livelihood projects which are currently active, the World Bank Group is to realize an Export Development Project in Mongolia which was approved in July, 2016.
The Export Development Project will support Mongolian small and medium sized firms (SMEs) in the non-mining sectors to strengthen their export capabilities and expand access to export markets.
Deputy Prime Minister highlighted the project’s role in contributing to development of export-oriented industry and promotion of Mongolian-made products on foreign markets.
Launched by Mongolian Ministry of Finance and the World Bank Group last month, the project will be implemented by the Government of Mongolia in the next 4.5 years, with a USD 20 million credit fund from the International Development Association.
Kh.Aminaa

BoM issues 1-week bills www.montsame.mn
Ulaanbaatar /MONTSAME/ The Bank of Mongolia issued 1 week bills worth MNT 467.3 billion at a weighted interest rate of 14.0 percent per annum.
1 - week CBBs, a main monetary policy instrument of BoM, plays an important role on managing the reserves of the banks. This CBB rate represents BoM’s policy rate guides interbank money market. In July 2007, the CBB with stable rate and unlimited bidding was introduced with auctions to be held on every Wednesday. This really had attracted the banks’ interests providing the possibility for the banks to place their excess reserve in short term asset. There has been a substantial change in the way banks manage their reserves since then. For the favorable adjustment of CBB rate and loan principle along with the well balance of togrog and foreign exchange, 1 - week CBB has been held in a type of competing by rate since May 2005. The auction average rate is the targeted rate variables in +/-2 percent from the policy rate and it frames to make the interbank rate as the operational target in midterm.

Trump to seek changes in visa program to encourage hiring Americans www.reuters.com

Skoda debuts first electric car in Shanghai www.chinadaily.com.cn

IT giants releasing Japanese translation apps www3.nhk.or.jp
IT giants that make translation apps are now focusing on the Japanese language, as they breach linguistic barriers with the help of artificial intelligence and deep learning technology.
Microsoft this month released a smartphone translator app that works with the Japanese language. The software is designed for group-use. Translations of spoken Japanese can be displayed on other people's smartphones and read out.
The app works with 10 languages including English, Chinese and Arabic.
Microsoft Japan's Chief Technology Officer Akira Sakakibara says he hopes many people will use the app, so the AI program can learn more and improve its precision.
Google's translation app involves the use of a smartphone camera. When the camera is pointed at sign boards or restaurant menus, the app can automatically translate simple Japanese words.

IMF accusations of US protectionism “rubbish” – Trump’s top trade official www.rt.com
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