1 WORLD BANK PROJECTS 5% ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR MONGOLIA IN 2026 WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/04/12      2 MONGOLIA TO IMPLEMENT PROJECT TO REDUCE HAZARDOUS CHEMICAL USE WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/04/12      3 PM UCHRAL HOLDS TALKS WITH RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR ON FUEL SUPPLIES WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/04/12      4 WORLD CIRCUS IN MONGOLIA 2026 SHOW TO OPEN SOON WWW.OPEN.KG PUBLISHED:2026/04/12      5 WORLD BANK: MONGOLIA’S ECONOMY STAYS RESILIENT BUT FACES RISING UNCERTAINTY WWW.RELIEFWEB.INT/ PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      6 CAN UCHRAL HOLD ON? BEYOND MONGOLIA’S LEADERSHIP SHAKE-UP WWW.THEDIPLOMAT.COM PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      7 $6 MILLION DIGITAL PROJECT LAUNCHED FOR CHINGGIS KHAAN MUSEUM WWW.ZSM.MN PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      8 STEEL PLANT WORTH $800 MILLION TO BE BUILT IN MONGOLIA WWW.AKIPRESS.COM PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      9 TMK GAS SURGE CLEARS PATH TO PRODUCTION AT MONGOLIAN PROJECT WWW.THEWEST.COM.AU PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      10 5 CHILDREN DIE FROM MENINGOCOCCAL DISEASE AND MEASLES WWW.UBPOST.MN PUBLISHED:2026/04/10      БАРИЛГЫН КОМПАНИУД ТӨСЛИЙНХӨӨ 30 ХҮРТЭЛХ ХУВИЙГ ӨӨРИЙН ХӨРӨНГӨӨР ГҮЙЦЭТГЭЖ БАЙЖ ЗАХИАЛГА АВДАГ БОЛНО WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/12     МОНГОЛ УЛСАД АМЬДАРЧ БУЙ 5153 ИРГЭНИЙ ОРШИН СУУХ ЗӨВШӨӨРЛИЙГ ХАСЧЭЭ WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/12     ГАНГИЙН ҮЙЛДВЭРИЙГ ДАРХАН-УУЛ АЙМАГТ БАРИНА WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/12     10 САЯ ПАУНДЫН ДЭМЖЛЭГИЙГ ҮРГЭЛЖЛҮҮЛЭХ ХҮСЭЛТ ТАВИВ WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/12     ҮСХ: ГАДААД ХУДАЛДААНЫ НӨХЦӨЛИЙН ИНДЕКС ӨМНӨХ ОНООС 13 ХУВИАР ӨСӨВ WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/10     ЭРЧИМ ХҮЧНИЙ ИНЖЕНЕР Д.ТЭНГИС: ₮3.5 ИХ НАЯДААР НАЙМАН ЖИЛИЙН ХУГАЦААНД УЛААНБААТАРЫГ УТААГҮЙ БОЛГОХ БОЛОМЖТОЙ WWW.EGUUR.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/10     АРХЕОЛОГИ, УГСААТНЫ МУЗЕЙ 80 ХУВИЙН ГҮЙЦЭТГЭЛТЭЙ БАЙНА WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/10     3–5 МЯНГАН ТОНН ҮРИЙН ТӨМС ЗЭЭЛИЙН НӨХЦӨЛӨӨР НИЙЛҮҮЛНЭ WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/10     ДЭЛХИЙН БАНК: 2026 ОНД МОНГОЛЫН ЭДИЙН ЗАСАГ 5 ХУВЬ ӨСӨХ ХҮЛЭЭЛТТЭЙ БАЙНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/09     “PLAYTIME” НААДМЫН ЭХНИЙ АРГА ХЭМЖЭЭ СҮХБААТАРЫН ТАЛБАЙД БОЛНО WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/04/09    
Англи амин дэм Монгол улсад албан ёсоор бүртгэгдлээ.

Global recession more likely and coming soon, warns Saxo Bank rt.com

While markets are forecasting only a 10 percent chance of a global recession, Danish investment firm Saxo Bank puts the odds at over 60 percent.

"Our main global macro outlook still maintains that recession is more likely than not in the near future (12 to 18 months) based on the global credit impulse having peaked simultaneously with global inflation," chief economist at Saxo Bank Steen Jakobsen told CNBC.

Recently, Jakobsen wrote in a note that while his company doesn’t predict a recession, its economic model does see a significant slowdown as "the large credit impulse from China and Europe in the early part of 2016 has not reversed to negative."

"While the market at large sees less than a 10 percent chance of recession, we at Saxo – together with our friends at South Africa's Nedbank – see more than a 60 percent chance," he said in the note.

While Saxo sees Europe as the primary driver for global growth, others are unlikely to follow the lead.

"One thing is absolutely clear: Asia is not going to contribute anything in 2017 to growth. China is at a total standstill," Jakobsen told CNBC.

"They don't know what to do with [US President Donald] Trump, and I think Trump again showed his hand over the weekend that he is not to be relied on in terms of a set-out path for how they conduct themselves," he added.

Moreover, Jakobsen is skeptical the US stock rally will continue, as it has been based on the hope of Trump’s stimulus, and not on real events.

"A dominant part of the equity analysts sees a significantly higher S&P, but it's based on hope. Hope to me belongs in church on a Sunday," said the economist.



Published Date:2017-04-11