1 FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER REACHES USD 2.6 BILLION WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/02/25      2 MONGOLIA REVOKES PERMITS OF SIX FOREIGN NGOS WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/02/25      3 MINING DRIVES MONGOLIA’S ECONOMY AS REFORM MOMENTUM BUILDS WWW.EASTASIAFORUM.ORG PUBLISHED:2026/02/25      4 P.NARANBAYAR ANNOUNCES PLAN TO DRAFT LAW TO RESTRICT CHILDREN’S USE OF SOCIAL NETWORKS WWW.GOGO.MN PUBLISHED:2026/02/25      5 “EAGLE FESTIVAL-2026” TO BE HELD ON MARCH 7-8 WWW.GOGO.MN PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      6 BEATE DASTEL: UNICEF WILL CONTINUE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF SUCCESSFUL PROJECTS AND PROGRAMS IN MONGOLIA WWW.OPEN.KG PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      7 SAXAUL TREE CULTIVATED IN WINTER GREENHOUSE FOR FIRST TIME IN MONGOLIA WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      8 MONGOLIA'S PROPOSED SENIOR UNSECURED NOTES ASSIGNED 'BB-' LONG-TERM FOREIGN CURRENCY RATING WWW.SPGLOBAL.COM PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      9 MOODY’S ASSIGNS B1 RATING TO MONGOLIA BONDS ON REFINANCING PLAN WWW.IN.INVESTING.COM PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      10 THE 2250-KM, MORE DIVERSE ALTERNATIVE TO THE TRANS-SIBERIAN RAILWAY WWW.BRISBANETIMES.COM.AU PUBLISHED:2026/02/24      НИЙСЛЭЛ ЗАРДЛАА ТЭЛЖ, ТРАМВАЙН ТӨСӨЛД 350 ТЭРБУМЫГ ЗАРЦУУЛНА WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/25     САНГИЙТ КАУР ДЕО: МАЛАЙЗЫН ТӨР БУРУУТАЙ ГЭДГИЙГ ШИЙДҮҮЛЭХ ЭЦСИЙН БОЛОМЖ УЧРААС МОНГОЛЫН ТӨР ХАМТРАН АЖИЛЛАХЫГ ХҮСЭЖ БАЙНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/25     НИЙСЛЭЛИЙН ТӨСӨВ: COP17 ХУРАЛД 70 ТЭРБУМ ЗАРЦУУЛЖ, 200 ТЭРБУМЫН БОНД БОСГОЖ V ЦАХИЛГААН СТАНЦ БАРИНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/25     ХӨРСНИЙ УС, ҮЕРИЙН ХАМГААЛАЛТЫН ТӨСЛИЙН ТЭЗҮ-ИЙГ БОЛОВСРУУЛАХ АЖИЛ 90 ХУВЬТАЙ ХЭРЭГЖИЖ БАЙНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     COP17 БАГА ХУРЛЫН БЭЛТГЭЛ ХАНГАХ ХҮРЭЭНД ТЕНДЕРГҮЙ, ШУУД ХУДАЛДАН АВАЛТ ХИЙХ ЭРХИЙГ ӨГЧЭЭ WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     "ЭРДЭНЭБҮРЭНГИЙН УСАН ЦАХИЛГААН СТАНЦЫН АЖЛЫН ЯВЦ 20 ХУВЬТАЙ БАЙНА" WWW.EGUUR.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     ТӨМӨР ЗАМЫН ТЕРМИНАЛЫН ДЭД БҮТЦИЙГ САНХҮҮЖҮҮЛЭХ САНАЛ ТАВЬЖЭЭ WWW.MONTSAME.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     НИЙСЛЭЛД ЖИЛДЭЭ 44.420 ТОНН ХУВАНЦАРЫГ ДАХИН БОЛОВСРУУЛНА WWW.EGUUR.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     МОНГОЛ УЛС, БНСУ-ЫН ГХЯ ХООРОНДЫН СТРАТЕГИЙН УУЛЗАЛТ БОЛОВ WWW.MONTSAME.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24     ДҮҮЖИН ЗАМЫН ТЭЭВЭР ТӨСЛИЙН ЯВЦ 60.5 ХУВЬТАЙ БАЙНА WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/02/24    
Англи амин дэм Монгол улсад албан ёсоор бүртгэгдлээ.

Global recession more likely and coming soon, warns Saxo Bank rt.com

While markets are forecasting only a 10 percent chance of a global recession, Danish investment firm Saxo Bank puts the odds at over 60 percent.

"Our main global macro outlook still maintains that recession is more likely than not in the near future (12 to 18 months) based on the global credit impulse having peaked simultaneously with global inflation," chief economist at Saxo Bank Steen Jakobsen told CNBC.

Recently, Jakobsen wrote in a note that while his company doesn’t predict a recession, its economic model does see a significant slowdown as "the large credit impulse from China and Europe in the early part of 2016 has not reversed to negative."

"While the market at large sees less than a 10 percent chance of recession, we at Saxo – together with our friends at South Africa's Nedbank – see more than a 60 percent chance," he said in the note.

While Saxo sees Europe as the primary driver for global growth, others are unlikely to follow the lead.

"One thing is absolutely clear: Asia is not going to contribute anything in 2017 to growth. China is at a total standstill," Jakobsen told CNBC.

"They don't know what to do with [US President Donald] Trump, and I think Trump again showed his hand over the weekend that he is not to be relied on in terms of a set-out path for how they conduct themselves," he added.

Moreover, Jakobsen is skeptical the US stock rally will continue, as it has been based on the hope of Trump’s stimulus, and not on real events.

"A dominant part of the equity analysts sees a significantly higher S&P, but it's based on hope. Hope to me belongs in church on a Sunday," said the economist.



Published Date:2017-04-11