1 RIO-GLENCORE DEAL CLOSER THAN EVER WITH PREMIUM AND CEO IN FOCUS WWW.BLOOMBERG.COM PUBLISHED:2026/01/10      2 MONGOLIA'S INFLATION DOWN TO 7.5 PCT IN DECEMBER 2025 WWW.XINHUANET.COM PUBLISHED:2026/01/10      3 MONGOLIA ENERGY FACES MNT 412.3 BILLION TAX LIABILITY AFTER LOSING MONGOLIAN COURT CASE WWW.TIPRANKS.COM  PUBLISHED:2026/01/10      4 NUMBER OF FOREIGN NATIONALS RESIDING FOR OFFICIAL AND PRIVATE PURPOSES UP 7.4% WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/01/10      5 SUSTAINABILITY RELATED REPORTING: READINESS ASSESSMENT MONGOLIA REPORT WWW.UNDP.ORG PUBLISHED:2026/01/10      6 GOVERNMENT TO FORMALLY APPROACH RIO TINTO, OYU TOLGOI TO SAFEGUARD NATIONAL INTEREST WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/01/09      7 NON-COMPLIANT ADVERTISING BILLBOARDS TO BE REMOVED WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/01/09      8 FROM TORONTO, CANADA TO PHU QUOC, VIETNAM: MONGOLIA’S BOLD 2026 AVIATION EXPANSION INCLUDES NEW FLIGHTS, VISA-FREE TRAVEL, AND AIRPORT UPGRADES! WWW.TRAVELANDTOURWORLD.COM PUBLISHED:2026/01/09      9 MONGOLIA TO MARK 820TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE GREAT MONGOL EMPIRE WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/01/09      10 PARLIAMENT SUPPORTS SOLAR GER INITIATIVE UNDER NEW REGULATORY REFORMS WWW.MONTSAME.MN PUBLISHED:2026/01/09      GLENCORE, RIO TINTO КОМПАНИУД НЭГДЭХ ХЭЛЭЛЦЭЭ ХИЙЖ БАЙНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/10     Н.НАРАНБААТАР: ЭНЭ ОНД НҮҮРСНИЙ ЭКСПОРТЫН ХЭМЖЭЭГ 90 САЯ ТОННД БАРИНА WWW.MONTSAME.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/10     УЛААНБААТАРТ ӨНДӨР ТЕХНОЛОГИЙН ХОЁР ҮЙЛДВЭР БАЙГУУЛЖ, УСАН ХАНГАМЖИЙГ 80 ХУВИАР НЭМЭГДҮҮЛЛЭЭ WWW.GOGO.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     ХУУЛЬ БУС ЭЗЭМШИЛД БАЙСАН 15 БАРИЛГА БАЙГУУЛАМЖИЙГ НИЙСЛЭЛД БУЦААН АВЧЭЭ WWW.NEWS.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     МОНГОЛ УЛСАД 37 097 ГАДААД ИРГЭН ОРШИН СУУХ БҮРТГЭЛТЭЙ БАЙНА WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     ҮСХ: 12 ДУГААР САРЫН ИНФЛЯЦ 7.5 ХУВЬТАЙ ГАРЛАА WWW.EAGLE.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     2026 ОНД НИЙСЛЭЛД ХЭРЭГЖИХ ТОМООХОН БҮТЭЭН БАЙГУУЛАЛТУУД WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     ДУЛААНЫ ТАРИФ НЭМЭГДҮҮЛЭХ ШИЙДВЭРИЙГ ХОЙШЛУУЛЖ, 2027 ОНЫ НЭГДҮГЭЭР САРЫН 1-НЭЭС НЭМНЭ WWW.EGUUR.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     НИЙГМИЙН ДААТГАЛЫН ӨР ТӨЛБӨРТ ТООЦОЖ, "КАПИТАЛ" БАНКНААС ХУРААСАН ХӨРӨНГИЙГ ДУУДЛАГААР ХУДАЛДАНА WWW.GOGO.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/09     НИЙСЛЭЛИЙН 19 БАЙРШИЛД 11.7 КМ АВТО ЗАМЫН БОРООНЫ УС ЗАЙЛУУЛАХ ШУГАМ УГСАРНА WWW.ITOIM.MN НИЙТЭЛСЭН:2026/01/08    

Global recession more likely and coming soon, warns Saxo Bank rt.com

While markets are forecasting only a 10 percent chance of a global recession, Danish investment firm Saxo Bank puts the odds at over 60 percent.

"Our main global macro outlook still maintains that recession is more likely than not in the near future (12 to 18 months) based on the global credit impulse having peaked simultaneously with global inflation," chief economist at Saxo Bank Steen Jakobsen told CNBC.

Recently, Jakobsen wrote in a note that while his company doesn’t predict a recession, its economic model does see a significant slowdown as "the large credit impulse from China and Europe in the early part of 2016 has not reversed to negative."

"While the market at large sees less than a 10 percent chance of recession, we at Saxo – together with our friends at South Africa's Nedbank – see more than a 60 percent chance," he said in the note.

While Saxo sees Europe as the primary driver for global growth, others are unlikely to follow the lead.

"One thing is absolutely clear: Asia is not going to contribute anything in 2017 to growth. China is at a total standstill," Jakobsen told CNBC.

"They don't know what to do with [US President Donald] Trump, and I think Trump again showed his hand over the weekend that he is not to be relied on in terms of a set-out path for how they conduct themselves," he added.

Moreover, Jakobsen is skeptical the US stock rally will continue, as it has been based on the hope of Trump’s stimulus, and not on real events.

"A dominant part of the equity analysts sees a significantly higher S&P, but it's based on hope. Hope to me belongs in church on a Sunday," said the economist.



Published Date:2017-04-11